Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
·
Published
December 7, 2023
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Summary

  • Carnegie Endowment expert Nikita Smagin writes that the Gaza conflict has reinforced Russia's belief in the correctness of its foreign policy approach, particularly in relation to the Western-centric international system.
  • Russia views the conflict as an opportunity to further its geopolitical interests, especially amidst the ongoing war in Ukraine.

Overview:

This article was written by Nikita Smagin, offering a comprehensive analysis of Russia's foreign policy in light of the Gaza War. 

  • The Gaza conflict has reinforced Russia's belief in the correctness of its foreign policy approach, particularly in relation to the Western-centric international system.
  • Russia views the conflict as an opportunity to further its geopolitical interests, especially amidst the ongoing war in Ukraine.

Key Quotes:

  • "The conflict in the Middle East is the perfect crisis for Russia, which is reaping a whole host of political benefits."
  • "Moscow’s bet on the disintegration of a Western-oriented international order appears to be paying off."

What They Discuss:

  • The article discusses how the Gaza War has led to a resurgence of internal Western disagreements, particularly in Europe's stance towards Israel.
  • It highlights societal divisions and discontent among U.S. officials regarding America's pro-Israel stance.
  • The piece notes the impact of the Gaza conflict on shifting international focus away from the Ukraine war.
  • Smagin addresses the perceived hypocrisy in the West's approach to conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza, affecting its credibility in the Global South.
  • The article examines Russia's cautious stance in the Middle East, balancing its interests with Iran and its position on Israel.​

What They Recommend:

  • The author suggests that Russia will likely remain a passive actor in the Israel-Hamas conflict, avoiding direct involvement.
  • Russia will likely maintain a balance in its Middle East policy, considering public opinion and its international relationships.

Key Takeaways:

  • The Gaza War has solidified Russia's belief in its foreign policy direction, emphasizing state interests over moral or ideological considerations.
  • Russia's approach to the conflict illustrates its strategic use of international crises to advance its geopolitical agenda.
  • The conflict has exposed and possibly widened rifts within Western alliances, offering Russia potential strategic advantages.

This is a brief overview of Nikita Smagin's work from the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. For complete insights, we recommend reading the full article.

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Original Read Time
9 min
Organization
The Brookings Institution
Category
Israel-Gaza War
Political Ideology
Center Left

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