American Enterprise Institute
·
Published
January 18, 2024
Ukraine’s Desperate Hour: The World Needs a Russian Defeat
Conservative
Op-Ed
·
Ukraine-Russia War
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Summary
- AEI expert Hal Brands writes that the war in Ukraine is a critical test of democratic resilience against authoritarian forces.
- The outcome of this conflict could either reinforce or erode the current global order, depending on the sustained commitment of democratic nations.
Overview:
- This op-ed from American Enterprise Institute scholar Hal Brands examines the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, particularly focusing on the global implications and the evolving dynamics of the war.
- The initial Western response to Russia's invasion appeared strong, but the long-term effectiveness of these measures is now uncertain.
- The war's outcome could significantly influence global power dynamics, especially regarding democratic resilience against authoritarian expansion.
Key Quotes:
- "In the hopeful early months of the war — characterized by Ukrainian resilience, Russian incompetence and Western unity — it often seemed that the conflict was revealing the strength of the free world and the debility of its enemies."
- "If the US and its allies can find the fortitude and commitment to see Ukraine through to an acceptable outcome... the conflict might still have mostly constructive consequences."
What They Discuss:
- The initial success of Western strategies against Russia's invasion, including sanctions and military support to Ukraine.
- The resilience of the Russian economy despite sanctions, with trade rerouting to Asia and strengthened ties with China.
- The potential for Russia to emerge as a more formidable, illiberal power post-war.
- Challenges within the democratic community, including political dysfunction in the US and "Ukraine fatigue" in the West.
- The uncertain future of the conflict and its implications for global order, particularly if democratic nations fail to maintain support for Ukraine.
What They Recommend:
- The article suggests the need for sustained Western commitment and support to ensure Ukraine's economic viability and military defense.
- It emphasizes the importance of increasing the costs for Russia's aggression to maintain global order.
Key Takeaways:
- The war in Ukraine is a critical test of democratic resilience against authoritarian forces.
- The outcome of this conflict could either reinforce or erode the current global order, depending on the sustained commitment of democratic nations.
- The situation remains fluid, and the long-term implications are still uncertain.
This is a brief overview of the work from the American Enterprise Institute. For complete insights, we recommend reading the full article.
Original Read Time
9 min
Organization
The Brookings Institution
Category
Israel-Gaza War
Political Ideology
Center Left