American Enterprise Institute
·
Published
January 10, 2024

Will Support for Israel Cost Biden Michigan?

Conservative
Blog
·
2024 U.S. Elections
Share this article

Summary

  • AEI experts explore the potential political impact of President Biden's support for Israel on his electoral prospects in Michigan, particularly among Muslim and Arab American voters.
  • The shift in Arab American support away from Biden in Michigan is important, but it is unlikely to be the sole deciding factor in Michigan's electoral outcome.

Overview:

This article by Karlyn Bowman, Nate Moore, and Ruy Teixeira at the American Enterprise Institute explores the potential political impact of President Biden's support for Israel on his electoral prospects in Michigan, particularly among Muslim and Arab American voters.

  • It discusses the "Abandon Biden" movement, initiated by some Muslim community leaders in response to Biden's stance on Israel, aiming to persuade Muslim and Arab Americans to vote for a third-party candidate.
  • The article analyzes the significance of the Arab American vote in Michigan, a key battleground state, and weighs the potential electoral consequences for Biden.

Key Quotes:

  1. "An October survey found just 17.4 percent of Arab Americans would vote for Joe Biden in a general election matchup with Donald Trump—a more than 40-point decline from 2020."
  2. "The Biden administration should not sacrifice its principled foreign policy for small, short-term electoral gains."

What They Discuss:

  • The article highlights the decline in President Biden's approval rating among Arab Americans and the potential impact of this shift on the 2024 election.
  • It examines the electoral dynamics in Michigan, noting that while the Arab American vote is significant, it may not be sufficient alone to determine the election outcome.
  • The piece considers other factors that could influence Biden's campaign in Michigan, including the enthusiasm of Black and Hispanic voters.
  • It discusses the historical voting patterns of Arab Americans in Michigan and the potential for these voters to lean towards the GOP due to social conservatism, regardless of Biden's foreign policy.
  • The article also addresses the potential risk of alienating Jewish voters if the Democratic stance against Israel becomes too hardline.

What They Recommend:

  • Cataneo suggests that the Biden administration should maintain its foreign policy principles rather than making concessions for electoral gains.
  • The article implies that the Biden campaign should focus on larger demographic groups and core Democratic constituencies, as these will have a more significant impact on the election outcome.

Key Takeaways:

  • The shift in Arab American support away from Biden in Michigan reflects broader political and social trends that transcend foreign policy issues.
  • While the Arab American vote is important, it is unlikely to be the sole deciding factor in Michigan's electoral outcome.
  • The Biden administration faces a complex balancing act in maintaining its foreign policy stance while addressing the concerns of diverse voter groups.

This is a brief overview of Karlyn Bowman, Nate Moore, and Ruy Teixeira's work from American Enterprise Institute. For complete insights, we recommend reading the full article. 

Related articles

All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
Can Maduro Pull off the Mother of All Electoral Frauds?
Center for Strategic and International Studies
·
Nov 18, 2023

Can Maduro Pull off the Mother of All Electoral Frauds?

Summary
  • Ryan C. Berg and Christopher Hernandez-Roy at Center for Strategic and International Studies analyze that Venezuela's recent elections showcased a blatant electoral theft by President Maduro, who manipulated election conditions, barred opposition candidates, and used repression to secure a disputed victory over Edmundo González.

  • The article asserts that the Maduro regime’s fraudulent actions, including blocking international observations and harassing opposition supporters, risk severe international isolation and a possible constitutional crisis if vote tabulations are not transparently released, undermining any claims to democratic legitimacy.
Leans Right
Commentary
·
International Affairs
Read summary
(1 min.)
-->
Why Is It So Hard for China to Boost Domestic Demand?
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
·
Nov 18, 2023

Why Is It So Hard for China to Boost Domestic Demand?

Summary
  • Experts at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace argue that China's Third Plenum communiqué remains vague on demand-side measures, even though boosting consumption is widely seen as crucial for sustainable growth.

  • The analysis suggests that despite consensus on the need for stronger consumer demand, Beijing faces challenges in shifting from an investment-driven economy due to long-standing transfers that benefit manufacturing, infrastructure, and local governments at the expense of households.
Liberal
Commentary
·
U.S.-China Relations
Read summary
(1 min.)
-->
A Cosmopolitan Case against World Government
Cato Institute
·
Nov 18, 2023

A Cosmopolitan Case against World Government

Summary
  • Ilya Somin at Cato Institute argues that supporting globalization and opposing world government are not contradictory positions because a world government could worsen voter ignorance, hinder foot voting, and potentially spiral into catastrophic authoritarianism.
  • The article asserts that world government is unnecessary for solving global issues and could suppress beneficial diversity and competition between nations. Instead, voluntary cooperation among major powers can address international challenges effectively.
Libertarian
Report
·
U.S. Government & Politics
Read summary
(1 min.)
-->
Project 2025 Compels Local Prosecutors To Enforce Extreme Right-Wing Laws
Center for American Progress
·
Nov 18, 2023

Project 2025 Compels Local Prosecutors To Enforce Extreme Right-Wing Laws

Summary
  • Lindsey McLendon at Center for American Progress argues that Project 2025 aims to dismantle the U.S. system of checks and balances, granting politicians, judges, and corporations increased control over Americans' lives by enforcing extreme right-wing policies through the U.S. Department of Justice.
  • The Center for American Progress asserts that Project 2025 would pressure local district attorneys to enforce severe abortion bans and other restrictive laws, exacerbating the maternal health crisis and reducing access to essential reproductive healthcare, particularly in states with already high maternal mortality rates.
Progressive
Article
·
U.S. Politics
Read summary
(1 min.)
-->
Trump chose Vance to reinforce his message
Brookings
·
Nov 18, 2023

Trump chose Vance to reinforce his message

Summary
  • Elaine Kamarck at Brookings writes that in selecting Senator J.D. Vance as his running mate, Donald Trump aimed to solidify his hard-right agenda, emphasizing Vance's alignment with Trump's core messages and MAGA base.
  • The article examines how Trump's choice of Vance follows the "reinforcing model" of vice-presidential selection, where the VP candidate strengthens the presidential candidate's message and governance, rather than providing a traditional ideological or geographic balance.
Leans Left
Commentary
·
2024 U.S. Elections
Read summary
(1 min.)
-->
No results found.
Original Read Time
9 min
Organization
The Brookings Institution
Category
Israel-Gaza War
Political Ideology
Center Left

We make expert analysis of current events
simple and accessible for all.

Join us in elevating our public discourse.